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The 95 percent rule looks permissive at first glance because it removes both the count limit of the three-property rule and the value ceiling of the 200 percent rule, but the tradeoff is steep: nearly everything identified has to actually close. A Missouri exchange considering this path needs a closing-capacity review before the list is finalized, not after.
Under the 95 percent rule, an investor can identify any number of replacement properties at any combined value, but by the end of the exchange period the investor must actually acquire properties equal to at least 95 percent of the aggregate fair market value of everything named on the list. That is a materially higher bar than the 200 percent rule, which only limits value and does not require closing on nearly all of it.
The rule is sometimes misread as a broader version of the 200 percent rule rather than what it actually is, which is a narrow safe harbor for investors who intend to close on almost every property they identify.
This rule tends to fit portfolio-style acquisitions, such as combining several smaller industrial buildings along the St. Louis corridor with a Springfield retail pad and a Columbia rental property, where the investor already has enough capital and financing lined up to close on nearly all of them. It rarely fits a speculative search where several candidates are still competing for the same allocation of exchange proceeds.
Before committing to a 95 percent rule identification, the following should be reviewed and confirmed for each candidate on the list:
The rule turns risky when the identified list is broader than the investor's real closing capacity, when one or two candidates are added as speculative options rather than serious acquisitions, or when debt for several properties has not been coordinated in advance. A single deal falling out of a 95 percent list can be enough to push the completed acquisition value below the required threshold.
This risk is amplified across a statewide list, since a St. Louis industrial closing, a Columbia rental closing, and a Springfield retail closing each depend on different lenders, title companies, and timelines that do not automatically stay in sync with one another.
Given the closing requirement, the investor, CPA, qualified intermediary, and lender should review the list together before it is finalized, comparing it against the three-property and 200 percent alternatives. In many cases a narrower list under one of the other rules is the safer route, and the 95 percent rule is reserved for cases where the investor has already lined up the capital and closing certainty to support it.
Whichever rule is chosen, the exchange file should record why. If a Missouri investor selects the 95 percent rule to consolidate several smaller properties, such as a St. Louis industrial building, a Springfield retail center, and a Columbia rental property, into a single closing plan, that reasoning belongs in writing alongside the identification notice itself. A qualified intermediary reviewing the file later, or a CPA preparing the eventual tax filing, benefits from seeing the logic rather than reconstructing it after the fact.
This documentation also gives the investor a reference point if market conditions shift mid-exchange. A written record of why the broader list was chosen, and what closing certainty supported it at the time, makes it easier to explain any later adjustment to the qualified intermediary or lender if one of the identified properties later falls out of contract.
The 200 percent rule caps the combined value of the identified list but does not require closing on all of it, while the 95 percent rule has no count or value limit but requires acquiring nearly all of the identified value. The 95 percent rule generally carries more closing risk.
It is used less often than the three-property or 200 percent rules because it requires a high degree of closing certainty across the entire identified list. It tends to fit portfolio acquisitions where financing and diligence are already well underway.
Falling short of the 95 percent threshold can jeopardize the identification for the entire list, not only the property that failed to close, so investors considering this rule should build in a wide margin of certainty. A qualified intermediary can walk through the specific consequences for a given transaction.
A single identification generally has to be evaluated under one rule at a time, so mixing strategies on the same notice requires careful drafting. This is a coordination and process description, and specific structuring should be confirmed with a qualified intermediary and tax advisor.
The investor's lender, qualified intermediary, and CPA are typically the right team to test whether financing and diligence support a 95 percent closing outcome before the identification deadline. That review is best completed early rather than close to the deadline.